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December 22, 2025

Market Impact: Week of December 22, 2025

Holiday Liquidity, Broadening Leadership, and Cooling Inflation U.S. equity markets enter a holiday-shortened week following a period of consolidation near record levels. While headline indices finished last week largely unchanged, underlying leadership continued to broaden—a constructive backdrop as markets head into year-end with lighter volume and reduced participation. The S&P 500 gained modestly, supported by […]

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December 15 2025

Market Impact: Week of December 15, 2025

Markets enter a critical data week with the S&P 500 declining 0.6% and Nasdaq plunging 1.9% as AI trade skepticism intensified following Oracle and Broadcom earnings that reignited concerns about capital spending intensity outpacing near-term returns, triggering aggressive sector rotation from mega-cap Technology and Communication Services into cyclicals including Basic Materials, Financials, and Industrials. The

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Federal Reserve building

What the Fed Did This Week—and What It Means for Traders

This week’s Federal Reserve policy decision delivered what markets had largely priced in—a 25 basis-point cut to the federal funds rate—but the finer details and commentary from Chair Jerome Powell created meaningful ripples across equities, bonds, currency markets, and risk assets. For active traders, understanding how this move fits into the broader macro narrative and

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Market Impact: Week of December 1, 2025

Markets enter December with the S&P 500 recovering from November’s volatility to post the month’s best reversal as systematic positioning reset and hedge funds completed their 98th percentile selling event on November 20th, creating space for renewed upside with 85% probability now priced for a December 25 basis point rate cut despite Fed officials sending

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November 24 2025

Market Impact: Week of November 24, 2025

Markets enter a holiday-shortened Thanksgiving week reeling from a brutal 1.9% S&P 500 decline as the Fed’s hawkish pivot and volatile rate cut expectations—swinging from 30% to 72% probability within 48 hours—triggered the most aggressive hedging demand in three years with put/call skew reaching extreme levels and the VIX surging to 28 before settling at

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November 17, 2025

Market Impact: Week of November 17, 2025

Markets enter the most consequential week since April’s tariff-driven selloff as the 43-day government shutdown—the longest in U.S. history—finally ends, clearing the path for Thursday’s delayed September employment report and a flood of backlogged economic data releases. The S&P 500’s 2.4% gain during the shutdown period demonstrates remarkable market resilience, yet Wednesday’s Nvidia earnings carrying

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Patience

The Power of Patience: Why Doing Nothing Is Sometimes the Best Trade

I’ve been getting DMs asking why there have been fewer alerts than usual. The answer is simple: I’ll never send out an alert just to send one. My focus is quality over quantity. I’d rather do nothing half of the week and wait for a day that presents A+ setups than force mediocre trades just

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November 3 2025

Market Impact: Week of November 3, 2025

Markets enter November riding a powerful 2.3% October gain as the S&P 500 approaches 40% appreciation from April lows, supported by historic earnings beats where 64% of reporting companies exceeded consensus estimates by at least one standard deviation—the highest frequency outside the COVID reopening period. The week unfolds against a complex backdrop where the Fed’s

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October 20

Market Impact: Week of October 20, 2025

Markets enter a critical inflation and earnings week with the S&P 500 rebounding 1.7% as President Trump’s dramatic pivot calling proposed 100% Chinese tariffs “not sustainable” reversed the previous week’s $1.5 trillion selloff, though hedge funds accelerated selling at the fastest pace since early April while US ETF shorts saw the largest percentage increase in

Market Impact: Week of October 20, 2025 Read More »

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